Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 743.436817 840.730823 950.559903 1084.660427 1245.256377 1433.036911 1671.641471
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 622.094452 751.778262 912.196457 1129.012544 1420.479396 1808.045029 2379.168588
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 555.813579 697.787804 883.083942 1149.540620 1535.141756 2094.074341 3009.587423
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 504.106772 652.875240 855.846059 1163.522766 1638.557893 2383.530252 3733.980155
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 456.376480 605.235955 815.391086 1147.474782 1687.785360 2592.847760 4385.799223
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 427.578614 580.021522 802.442764 1168.565341 1796.551027 2922.996719 5380.059667
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 407.642891 564.849854 801.494837 1206.710862 1939.019647 3347.683033 6753.665394
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 385.463201 543.690971 788.227868 1221.385965 2040.919043 3720.266782 8197.131625
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 361.157400 516.804309 762.584937 1210.350387 2091.000991 3997.433517 9549.923485
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 345.929710 502.694191 756.034178 1231.927121 2209.070732 4461.083528 11750.222880
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 321.937367 472.505980 719.519504 1192.970432 2193.480328 4600.334232 13000.129979
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 301.791664 447.133116 689.008598 1161.671750 2188.884397 4767.324770 14490.062584
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 280.487643 419.216971 653.186098 1118.787728 2157.965043 4876.182906 15954.373695
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 273.468266 414.859908 658.829004 1159.882027 2331.948602 5635.142346 21245.936683
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 264.565310 406.441125 656.051970 1182.830941 2467.078453 6340.243443 27476.497497
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 255.218719 396.523507 649.515508 1196.820675 2583.222979 7044.030174 35234.383640
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 242.976437 380.625736 630.260539 1180.324968 2614.536077 7465.986108 42053.141482
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 236.172333 373.984613 628.182225 1202.173746 2758.306391 8400.721192 56509.880513
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 231.730002 371.281455 633.492673 1241.816849 2965.123670 9740.328042 82331.918407
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 225.022571 363.929278 628.834183 1257.060045 3102.608330 10878.250919 114235.839101
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 216.195511 352.070777 614.051421 1245.594580 3152.541572 11630.511264 146937.535969
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 211.113311 346.975066 612.812999 1268.016063 3322.480545 13177.776504 222633.928979
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 200.783829 331.284307 588.229683 1227.537075 3265.119546 13374.204682 260298.393568